[ verb ] attempt to anticipate or predict <verb.communication>second-guess
The analysts in question are followers of the "GM bellwether" indicator, one of the many traditional tools developed over the years to try to outguess the direction of stock prices.
Speculation, attempting to outguess the market, is a zero-sum game, a gamble.
Asked why Citibank chose to raise its rate on a day rates on bank certificates of deposit fell, the Citibank official replied: "We don't try to outguess the market each day.